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"History Doesn't Repeat, But It Does Rhyme" Attributed to Mark Twain
Released on Wednesday, February 3, 2021•MARKETS
While many commentators are asserting that the coronavirus pandemic has changed everything, and that the trends which characterized most of 2020 will continue in 2021, the situation appears most similar to the end of the technology bubble in 1999-2000. Then too, confident assertions were made that Its different this time, that valuations were irrelevant, and that old economy stocks and sectors such as energy, industrials, materials, and financials were permanently dead and buried. Events proved this view to be mistaken, and the Noughties decade saw out-performance of value against growth and old economy against technology and new wave stocks. Reversion to the mean is one of the most fundamental of investment doctrines. One suspects it will prove itself to be so again this year and for the foreseeable future.
Gavin Graham
The Income Investor,
Contributing Editor
With over 40 years of domestic and international financial experience, Gavin Graham is a highly sought-after market pundit and prognosticator. His wealth of global experience has been garnered through roles in London, Hong Kong, San Francisco, and Toronto including those of senior fund manager, Thornton Management; chief investment officer, Citigroup Investment Management (Asia); and chief investment officer, Guardian Group of Funds. Mr. Graham is a contributing editor of The Income Investor, host of the Gavin Graham Show podcast, and regular commentator in the financial media. Originally hailing from the UK, he is a graduate of Magdalen College at the University of Oxford and a Trustee of the Investment Committee of the Royal Medical Foundation (UK).
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