Defining Risk Through Fibonacci Analysis

Released on Thursday, June 6, 2019TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

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Carolyn Boroden
ElliottWaveTrader.net, Technical Analyst

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The enthusiasm and euphoria that greeted the Trump election win, especially among the retail investor base, has been replaced by retail sentiment at levels last seen at the bottom of the 2022 bear market. Additionally, rotation is the lifeblood of bull markets and today, the rotation is global – from the US to the rest. ETFs like the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) are benefitting, advises Jay Pelosky, founder and principal at TPW Advisory.
Have we seen THE LOW for the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) yet? Was it last Thursday? I don’t know. No one does. But a review of the last two major market bottoms can shed some light on what one MIGHT look like this time.
The selling in US growth stocks and funds like the Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) continues. Meanwhile, the relative strength in funds like the iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ) looks interesting, writes JC Parets, founder of AllStarCharts.
I’m an optimist by nature. Somewhat of a Ted Lasso, if I’m being honest. But this market is testing my mettle – just like I’m sure it’s testing yours!
Are we entering a bear market? Lots of people think so. Here are the three reasons why I disagree, writes Gav Blaxberg, CEO of Wolf Financial.
Why do so many traders fail? Is it the psychological traps that lead to reckless decision-making, emotional trading, and ultimately, blown accounts?
Credit markets. Stocks. Gold. Volatility. I’ve written about them all – and what market messages they’ve been communicating – so far in 2025.
The ongoing story during this downdraft is that the stock market is just not seeing bidders as prices cascade lower. On Monday, the S&P 500 (SPX) fell 2.7% and the Nasdaq and Nasdaq 100 were off about 4%. The “500” slid through the 50% retracement and chart support in the 5,650 region like it wasn't even there, notes John Eade, president of Argus Research.
Stocks have been cruising since October 2023. But trading is getting choppier as macro risks pile up. Every week seems fraught with fresh tape bombs. Before you decide to hit the exits, consider three things about uncertain times and rising volatility, writes Alec Young, contributor at MAPsignals.

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So, just what is a common-sense trading strategy? It does the following: your money grows in up-markets, down markets, and flat markets. Your money is liquid all the time. Get in or out anytime you want. And on top of all of that, you get to choose whether you want a 1x or 2x or 3x growth rate. Join Mike Turner, a world-class thought leader for money management, as he walks you through one of the most amazing common-sense and incredibly successful portfolio management processes you have ever seen and how easy it is to put this process to work for you today! No more guessing about what the market is going to do tomorrow or next week or for the rest of the year  You’ll actually look forward to bear markets instead of being scared to death of them. Finally… A trading strategy that works in all markets!

So, just what is a common-sense trading strategy? It does the following: your money grows in up-markets, down markets, and flat markets. Your money is liquid all the time. Get in or out anytime you want. And on top of all of that, you get to choose whether you want a 1x or 2x or 3x growth rate. Join Mike Turner, a world-class thought leader for money management, as he walks you through one of the most amazing common-sense and incredibly successful portfolio management processes you have ever seen and how easy it is to put this process to work for you today! No more guessing about what the market is going to do tomorrow or next week or for the rest of the year  You’ll actually look forward to bear markets instead of being scared to death of them. Finally… A trading strategy that works in all markets!

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